PDA

View Full Version : Alex a hurricane as of 2:am


windy
08-03-2004, 12:22 AM
Those of you living in SC/NC please stay safe. Let us know how everything in going. My area in virginia may just see rain & wind. We did have a flood watch go across the screen on channel 10 & 13. Tommorow we will see what watches or warning we have. Take care windy.

Alex becomes the first hurricane of the 2004 season...moving almost parallel to the North Carolina coast...

a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area during the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.

A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from South Santee River South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina.

Reports from an Air Force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and the National Weather Service Doppler radar at Wilmington North Carolina indicate that Alex has become a hurricane.

At 2 am EDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located near latitude 33.0 north...longitude 77.4 west or about 75 miles south-southeast of Wilmington North Carolina.

Alex is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph. This general motion...with a gradual increase in forward speed...is expected for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Alex is forecast to pass very near the North Carolina Outer Banks later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center. A NOAA buoy located near Frying Pan Shoals North Carolina recently reported a wind gust of 49 mph.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force reserve reconnaissance aircraft was 983 mb...29.03 inches.

Storm total rainfall accumulations of 2-3 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1-2 feet above normal tide levels can be expected on Atlantic shorelines. Storm surge flooding of 2-4 feet above normal tide levels can be expected inside Pamlico Sound. High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.

Repeating the 2 am EDT position...33.0 N... 77.4 W. Movement toward...northeast near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 983 mb.

ticka1
08-03-2004, 05:09 AM
Windy - keep us updated on the conditions in your area. Alex is going to track close to you.

Alex is impressive looking on sats this morning. I think most of the danger is going to come from the rains from Alex. With the threat of flooding.

Stay safe Windy.

ticka1
08-03-2004, 07:58 AM
Wonder how many folks out in NC woke up this morning to a strong cat 1 hurricane knocking on their door. I think Alex has surprised alot of forecasters and models.

Does anyone think it will be stronger during the next advisory? I read where recon found higher winds while flying in...

stormy
08-03-2004, 08:21 AM
this is a live shot from Cape Hatteras Lighthouse. thought this may be of interest
www.nps.gov/caha/livecam.htm
it looks pretty rough

Coriolis
08-03-2004, 08:31 AM
Ticka -
Latest vortex message has in the SE quadrant 105 kts.

Jim

ticka1
08-03-2004, 08:37 AM
Jim what is that in mph wind speed. I can't remember the formula.

Coriolis
08-03-2004, 08:40 AM
Ticka

1 kt = 1.1508 mph
1 mph = 0.8690 kts

Jim

ticka1
08-03-2004, 08:44 AM
So if I use your formula

1.1508 X 105 knots = 120 mph? Is that right?

Coriolis
08-03-2004, 09:04 AM
Ticka

Yes that is the SE quad. To be more precise:
1 knot = 1.15078030303 mph
1 mph = .8689755962687 kts an hour


Also - we also have TD#2 at 11am

Jim

windy
08-03-2004, 09:22 AM
The most our area will see is heavy rain and some flooding and that's about it. Winds are only 10mph. NC is seeing the brunt of this storm. I hope anyone living in those areas are safe & protected.

windy
08-03-2004, 09:26 AM
Winds are at 100mph with higher gust this is the 11am outlook.. Its close to cape hatteras.

windy
08-03-2004, 11:22 AM
Sorry your link didn't work. Its coming up with default page.

ticka1
08-03-2004, 12:09 PM
Is everyone as surprised as I am to see Alex develop to a cat 2 hurricane? Can you imagine the surprise of all the folks on the outerbanks who thought this was just going to be a little ole cat 1 - barely hurricane strength - when they went to bed - to only see if grow to 100+ mph and make landfall very close.

I know I am. Just goes to show u how unpredictable hurricanes are still even with all the technology we have in our grasp.

StingRay
08-03-2004, 01:15 PM
http://www.skywarn-texas.org/

Click on North Carolina on map, then click public reports or information. Gives you a list of all current storm reports of damage, flooding etc. for North Carolina. They are getting slammed.

Coriolis
08-03-2004, 01:18 PM
Ticka -

It might be that only Cape Hatteras got the mid - to upper cat 1 winds. It does look like the eye was about 2 miles or so away from the Cape. I have not gotten then latest data but the last what I had - everyone is prob doing a WHEW!!! Will have to see a liitle later. But you are right - everyone was thinking they are only going to see the cat 1 - if that!

Jim

StingRay
08-03-2004, 01:22 PM
http://www.nps.gov/caha/livecam.htm

I'm gonna try and track down some more.

StingRay
08-03-2004, 06:31 PM
BEAUTIFUL shot. Best yet I've seen.

windy
08-05-2004, 01:02 PM
I stopped showing interest in Alex after it had went out to sea away from the east coast. Its no fun to track when and goes fishing. :D