VARIOUS NWS STATEMENTS FROM ACROSS THE GOM

[StingRay]

From Lake Charles:
THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT ON HOW MUCH IT WILL
ERODE THE GULF RIDGE IN PLACE THAT IS CURRENTLY STEERING IVAN ON A W-
NW PATH IN THE CARIBBEAN. LIKE OUR POPS TODAY...THE MODELS HAVE
VASTLY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS FROM THE NGM'S CONTINUING IT NW INTO THE C
GULF BY MON EVENING...THE ETA'S NEAR THE NE TIP OF THE YUCATAN...AND
THE AVN MOVING ACROSS THE W TIP OF CUBA. AS ALWAYS...WILL TAYLOR OUR
FORECAST STRICTLY BASED UPON NHC'S OFFICIAL TRACK...WHICH IS ACROSS
THE FL PANHANDLE BY WED AFTERNOON. AT THIS POINT...WILL LEAVE THE
POP DISTRIBUTION OF ISOLATED ACROSS SE TX...SCT OVER LA REGION
THROUGH WED...ISOLATED AREAWIDE FOR THU THROUGH SAT TO ACCOUNT FOR
ANY TRAILING MOISTURE LEFT IN IVAN'S WAKE. OBVIOUSLY...THIS FORECAST
IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE IVAN WANTS TO VISIT...WHICH WILL KEEP
JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE GULF COAST ON EDGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

[StingRay]

.LONG-TERM(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...IVAN'S TRACK
CONTINUES TO BE MORE WESTERLY THAN MOST OF THE MODELS HAVE WANTED TO
TAKE IT THE PAST COUPLE OF DAY. LATEST NHC FORECAST STILL HAS THE
SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE EASTERN GULFMEX...BUT A BIT FURTHER WEST.
BREAK DOWN OF RIDGE AND EVENTUAL APPROACH OF A TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
TAKE THIS SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WITH LANDFALL SOMEWHERE NEAR THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. WITH THE SYSTEM SLOW-MOVING WHEN IT GETS IN THE
GULF AND STILL VERY POTENT...WILL SEE SOME EFFECT OF IT...NAMELY
SWELLS AND PERHAPS EVEN A MORE NORTHERLY WIND DIRECTION EARLY IN THE
WEEK. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS WAVE GRIDS...
EITHER KEEPING THEM AS IS OR KICKING THEM UP A FOOT DUE IN PART TO A
BIT MORE WESTERLY ENTRANCE IN GULF AS WELL AS ISC. SWELL EFFECTS
WILL LAST THROUGH MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. OBVIOUSLY...MARINE
FORECAST WILL HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED AS THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF IVAN
BECOMES MORE DEFINITIVE.

[StingRay]

ALL PERSONS ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION SHOULD HAVE A
PREPAREDNESS PLAN IN PLACE...AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD A HURRICANE
WATCH OR WARNING BECOME NECESSARY ACROSS SOME PART OF OUR REGION IN
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.